Posts Tagged ‘leasing’
Sunday, July 19th, 2009
by Ahmad Hassam
It is important for you as a forex trader to identify and understand a trend in currency markets because they tend to be vicious and one way. Trends in forex routinely wipe out retail traders like you and me who commit the sin of trend fading.
FX trends start slowly and are usually the result of another action taking place in the global capital markets. A booming stock market like that happened in the Tokyo Stock Exchange some years back may lead to a massive forex trend in its wake as an example.
Likewise, a global recession may force the investors to run towards save haven currencies like dollar in their flight towards safety. Similarly fall in interest rates usually forces carry traders to become risk averse.
So you will have to keep one eye on the global macro situation developing to look in which direction smart money is going to flow. Most of the trends in forex markets are fundamentally driven by the direction of smart money flow.
The longer the trend is, the longer the correction and the consolidation will be. In simple words, fundamentally driven trends do not make sudden U-turns.
But when the public realizes that a trend has developed, it is always too late. The professional traders and hedge fund have long been in the trade and are ready to unload their positions on the retail crowd.
As the saying goes, a Newsweek cover is a kiss of death for a trend. Trends are important for an individual investor to understand.
Always remember the saying, trend is your friend. Trading the Trend is one of the popular strategies used by professional traders including hedge funds.
The best and most effective strategy involves taking a position in the direction of the trend. You can identify a trend in forex using multiple time frame analysis involving moving averages.
Once you have identified the trend, use Fibonacci retracement levels to enter and exit the position. Always put stop losses. If you successfully make a trade, you can make many pips in a few days.
About the Author:
Mr. Ahmad Hassam is a Harvard University Graduate. He is interested in day trading and swing trading stocks and currencies. Know These Forex Broker Games. Try Netpicks Forex Signals Free.
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Saturday, July 18th, 2009
by Ahmad Hassam
When you open a currency trading account, you are told by your forex broker that there are no commissions involved in forex trading. New traders take their brokers word as true. Most think that the cost of trading is minimal.
Forex brokers also called FCMs (Futures Commission Merchants) make profits through the bid-ask spread they offer to their clients for each currency pair. This bid-ask spread is the trading cost for you and the profit for your FCM.
Lets take a practical example. Bid/ask spreads are usually overlooked by the individual traders as the price they have to pay for trading. So lets calculate what your cost of trading can be in a year.
Suppose, you are day trading the currency markets, 5 times every day. Take away the weekends, when you cant trade, there are 250 trading days for you.
As a day trader, you open and close your position before the end of the day. That means each position is traded 2 times.
Suppose; your account size is $ 50,000. You are using a leverage of only 4. So this $50,000 will control (50,000) (4) = $200,000.
Your Annual Turnover will be; (5) (250)(2)(200,000)= $500 M. Huge! Now lets calculate how much your broker will make and what your spread cost is. Spread Cost= (Annual Turnover) (spread)/2.
Suppose further, the bid/ask spread offered by the broker is 3 pips. 3 Pips Spread Cost= (500M) (0.0003)/2= $75,000.
Suppose the bid/offer spread charged by the broker is only 2 pips. 2 Pips Spread Cost= (500M) (0.0002)/2= $50,000.
You can see yourself, the cost of trading with a 3 pips spread versus a 2 pips is $25,000. This is 50% of your account equity. You see, a 1 pip difference can result in $25,000 more as trading cost for you.
You will need to make a profit of $75,000 in a year simply to breakeven with a 3 pips spread. Trading costs are one of the most important reasons most active traders fail in the long run.
About the Author:
Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. He is interested in day trading and swing trading stocks and currencies. Know These Forex Broker Games. Learn Forex Trading.
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